British Intelligence update on Ukraine as of Mar. 30

British Intelligence update on Ukraine as of Mar. 30

Russian media reporting suggests that the authorities are preparing to start a major military recruitment campaign with the aim of signing up an additional 400,000 troops.

Russia is presenting the campaign as a drive for volunteer, professional personnel, rather than a new, mandatory mobilisation.

There is a realistic possibility that in practice this distinction will be blurred, and that regional authorities will try to meet their allocated recruitment targets by coercing men to join up.

Russian authorities have likely selected a supposedly ‘volunteer model’ to meet their personnel shortfall in order to minimise domestic dissent. It is highly unlikely that the campaign will attract 400,000 genuine volunteers.

However, rebuilding Russia’s combat power in Ukraine will require more than just personnel, Russia needs more munitions and military equipment supplies than it currently has available.